449  
FOPZ13 KNHC 100852  
PWSEP3  
 
TROPICAL STORM RACHEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 53  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182026  
0900 UTC SAT OCT 10 2026  
 
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RACHEL WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
SAN DIEGO CA 34 X 7( 7) 11(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)  
 
YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) 22(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)  
 
TIJUANA 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)  
 
ENSENADA 34 X 35(35) 16(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)  
ENSENADA 50 X 9( 9) 11(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)  
ENSENADA 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
IS GUADALUPE 34 2 68(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)  
IS GUADALUPE 50 X 24(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)  
IS GUADALUPE 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)  
 
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
P PENASCO 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)  
 
25N 120W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)  
25N 120W 50 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)  
 
30N 120W 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
 
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