824
ABPZ20 KNHC 110551
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT OCT 10 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE RACHEL, LOCATED OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ON HURRICANE
SIMON, LOCATED JUST SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO:
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FAR EASTERN EAST
PACIFIC ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM WELL SOUTH OF SOUTHERN
MEXICO BY THE MIDDLE OR LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
FORECASTER KATZ/BLAKE
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