711
WTPZ25 KNHC 111450
TCMEP5
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
1500 UTC SUN OCT 11 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 105.3W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 937 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 90SE 120SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 105.3W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 105.2W
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 19.9N 105.6W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 20.5N 106.0W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 21.1N 106.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 5SW 5NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 21.8N 106.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 22.5N 106.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 23.0N 106.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 23.9N 106.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 105.3W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 11/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
FORECASTER PAPIN
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