330  
WTPZ25 KNHC 112052  
TCMEP5  
 
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026  
2100 UTC SUN OCT 11 2026  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 105.8W AT 11/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.  
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.  
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.  
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.  
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 90SE 120SW 90NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 105.8W AT 11/2100Z  
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 105.6W  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 20.2N 106.1W...NEAR THE COAST  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.  
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 21.0N 106.6W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 5SW 5NW.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.  
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 21.6N 106.9W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 5SW 5NW.  
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.  
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 22.2N 107.1W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 5SW 5NW.  
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.  
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 22.8N 107.0W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 5SW 5NW.  
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.  
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 23.4N 106.6W...NEAR THE COAST  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 5SW 5NW.  
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.  
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 24.0N 105.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 105.8W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 12/0000Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z  
 
 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
 
 
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