179
FOPZ15 KNHC 112054
PWSEP5
HURRICANE SIMON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
2100 UTC SUN OCT 11 2026
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SIMON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 45(46) 17(63) 4(67) 2(69) X(69) X(69)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 21(21) 12(33) 3(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X 11(11) 7(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 27(36) 6(42) X(42)
MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 2(14) X(14)
MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
SAN BLAS 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
P VALLARTA 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
FORECASTER PAPIN
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