400
WTPZ25 KNHC 120853
TCMEP5
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
0900 UTC MON OCT 12 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 106.3W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 106.3W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 106.1W
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 20.6N 106.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 21.2N 107.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 21.8N 107.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 22.3N 107.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 22.9N 107.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 23.4N 106.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 24.1N 105.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 106.3W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 12/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
FORECASTER KATZ/BLAKE
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