036
WTPZ25 KNHC 122050
TCMEP5
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
2100 UTC MON OCT 12 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 106.8W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 5SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 25SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 106.8W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 106.7W
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 20.5N 107.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 5SW 5NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 20.9N 107.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 5SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 21.2N 107.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 5NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 21.5N 107.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 5NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.2N 107.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 15NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 23.0N 107.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 24.2N 106.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 106.8W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 13/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
FORECASTER PAPIN
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