862
WTPZ31 KNHC 131449
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212026
900 AM CST TUE OCT 13 2026
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORMS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
MEXICO...
...FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY TO A MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...
SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.8N 96.5W
ABOUT 540 MI...870 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 820 MI...1320 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 96.5
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17
KM/H). A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS, AND THE
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND A
MAJOR HURRICANE BY FRIDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB (29.71 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO
LATE THIS WEEK. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 300 PM CST.
FORECASTER HAGEN
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