769
FOPZ11 KNHC 131450
PWSEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212026
1500 UTC TUE OCT 13 2026
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 9.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18)
SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17)
P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
15N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 4(19)
15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 30(38)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17)
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 35(60)
MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 23(31)
MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17)
L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 37(41) 9(50)
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 6(20)
L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 28(33) 5(38)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12)
ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
10N 100W 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
15N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 3(19) 1(20)
15N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
15N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9)
20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
FORECASTER HAGEN
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