494  
WTPZ21 KNHC 140338 CCA  
TCMEP1  
 
TROPICAL STORM TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3...CORRECTED  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212026  
0300 UTC WED OCT 14 2026  
 
CORRECTED FOR INITIAL WIND GUSTS  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 97.0W AT 14/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.  
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.  
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 97.0W AT 14/0300Z  
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 96.7W  
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 11.8N 98.6W  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 10SE 10SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 12.6N 100.0W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 30SE 25SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 13.5N 100.9W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 5SW 10NW.  
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.3N 101.5W  
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.  
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.2N 101.9W  
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.3N 102.5W  
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 55NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.  
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 19.0N 104.4W  
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 95NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 21.0N 106.0W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.  
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 97.0W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z  
 

 
FORECASTER MAHONEY  
 
 
 
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