861
WTPZ35 KNHC 140845
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
200 AM MST WED OCT 14 2026
..COMPACT SIMON DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD
...INTERESTS IN WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE HURRICANE...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 107.9W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM SW OF LAS ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAS ISLAS MARIAS
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS IN WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR SIMON. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SIMON WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 107.9 WEST. SIMON IS MOVING
TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH (6 KM/H). THE HURRICANE COULD MOVE
SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN EVENTUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR BY FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH (165 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING ON FRIDAY AND INTO
THE WEEKEND.
SIMON IS A VERY SMALL HURRICANE. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES (20 KM) FROM THE CENTER, AND
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM).
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB (28.62 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR SIMON CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ45 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP5.SHTML?KEY_MESSAGES.
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA FOR LAS ISLAS MARIAS ON THURSDAY.
RAINFALL: THROUGH FRIDAY, SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR, NAYARIT, AND
SINALOA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH SIMON,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP5.SHTML?RAINQPF.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF
WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 500 AM MST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 AM MST.
FORECASTER REINHART
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