772
WTPZ31 KNHC 140848
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212026
300 AM CST WED OCT 14 2026
...TRUDY EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO..
...RESIDENTS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...
SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.1N 99.0W
ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF TRUDY. WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY FOR
PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TRUDY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST. TRUDY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). A MOTION
BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS, AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT
AND A MAJOR HURRICANE BY FRIDAY.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB (29.59 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TRUDY CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ41 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP1.SHTML?KEY_MESSAGES.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY TRUDY ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO LATE THIS WEEK. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 900 AM CST.
FORECASTER KATZ/REINHART
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