205
WTPZ25 KNHC 141446
TCMEP5
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
1500 UTC WED OCT 14 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 108.1W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 108.1W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 108.0W
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.5N 108.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.3N 108.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.2N 108.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.9N 108.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 5SW 5NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.2N 109.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 5NE 5SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.6N 110.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 24.5N 112.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 26.9N 113.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 108.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
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