279
WTPZ35 KNHC 141447
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
800 AM MST WED OCT 14 2026
..SIMON WEAKENS WHILE DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD
...INTERESTS IN WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE HURRICANE...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 108.1W
ABOUT 165 MI...260 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR
LAS ISLAS MARIAS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR SIMON. WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED
FOR PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SIMON WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST. SIMON IS MOVING
TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH (4 KM/H). THE HURRICANE IS LIKELY TO
MOVE SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR BY FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 90 MPH (150 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING ON FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
SIMON IS A VERY SMALL HURRICANE. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES (20 KM) FROM THE CENTER AND
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM).
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB (28.80 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR SIMON CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ45 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP5.SHTML?KEY_MESSAGES.
RAINFALL: THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY, SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE STATE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH SIMON,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP5.SHTML?RAINQPF.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF
WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 PM MST.
FORECASTER BEVEN
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