376
WTPZ35 KNHC 142054
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
200 PM MST WED OCT 14 2026
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT SIMON HAS WEAKENED
FURTHER...
...INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
CYCLONE...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 108.3W
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR SIMON.
WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SIMON WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 108.3 WEST. SIMON IS MOVING
TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH (6 KM/H). THE HURRICANE IS LIKELY TO
MOVE SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. A MOTION TOWARD
THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY FRIDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO AT LEAST 75 MPH (120
KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING ON FRIDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.
SIMON IS A VERY SMALL HURRICANE. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES (20 KM) FROM THE CENTER AND
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES
(55 KM).
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT DATA IS 989 MB (29.21 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR SIMON CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ45 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP5.SHTML?KEY_MESSAGES.
RAINFALL: THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY, SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE STATE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH SIMON,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP5.SHTML?RAINQPF.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF
WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 PM MST.
FORECASTER BEVEN
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