421
WTPZ35 KNHC 150231
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
800 PM MST WED OCT 14 2026
..COMPACT SIMON WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM
...INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
CYCLONE...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 108.6W
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 220 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR SIMON.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SIMON WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST. SIMON IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H). THE STORM IS LIKELY
TO MOVE SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. A MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB (29.27 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR SIMON CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ45 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP5.SHTML?KEY_MESSAGES.
RAINFALL: THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY, SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE STATE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH SIMON,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP5.SHTML?RAINQPF.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF
WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 AM MST.
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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