591
WTPZ31 KNHC 150234
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212026
900 PM CST WED OCT 14 2026
..TRUDY FORECAST TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO
...INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL
MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR ITS PROGRESS...
SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 100.8W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF TRUDY. WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED BY EARLY
THURSDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TRUDY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 100.8 WEST. TRUDY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH (13 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS, FOLLOWED BY A TURN BACK TOWARD THE NORTHWEST THIS WEEKEND.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, TRUDY IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST
OF SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO THIS WEEKEND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH (110 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RAPID STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS, AND TRUDY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON
FRIDAY.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES (165 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB (29.36 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TRUDY CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ41 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP1.SHTML?KEY_MESSAGES.
RAINFALL: THROUGH THE WEEKEND, TRUDY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS AROUND 12 INCHES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND ACROSS COLIMA AND JALISCO. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS ALONG
STEEP TERRAIN.
ELSEWHERE, TRUDY’S OUTER BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 2 TO 4 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS AROUND 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN GUERRERO AND MICHOACáN. THIS RAINFALL MAY
RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THE WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY
IN AREAS ALONG STEEP TERRAIN.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY TRUDY ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATE THIS WEEK AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 300 AM CST.
FORECASTER GIBBS
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