608
WTPZ35 KNHC 151442
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
800 AM MST THU OCT 15 2026
...SIMON STILL NEARLY STATIONARY OFF OF THE COAST OF WESTERN
MEXICO...
...INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
STORM...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 108.1W
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR SIMON.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SIMON WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST. SIMON IS
NEARLY STATIONARY AND IS LIKELY TO MOVE SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY
THROUGH TONIGHT. A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY
FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND SIMON
IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BY LATE THIS
WEEKEND.
SIMON IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM) FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB (29.42 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR SIMON CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ45 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP5.SHTML?KEY_MESSAGES.
RAINFALL: THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY, SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE STATE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH SIMON,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP5.SHTML?RAINQPF.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF
WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 PM MST.
FORECASTER BEVEN
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