759
WTPZ35 KNHC 152041
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
200 PM MST THU OCT 15 2026
..SMALL SIMON SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD
..NOW FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A COUPLE OF DAYS
SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...19.3N 108.2W
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR SIMON.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SIMON WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 108.2 WEST. SIMON IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 1 MPH (2 KM/H). A FASTER
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS, AND SIMON IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BY
THIS WEEKEND.
SIMON IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB (29.50 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR SIMON CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ45 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP5.SHTML?KEY_MESSAGES.
RAINFALL: THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY, SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE STATE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH SIMON,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP5.SHTML?RAINQPF.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST
OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 PM MST.
FORECASTER PAPIN
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