253
FZPN03 KNHC 160356
HSFEP2
HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI OCT 16 2026
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
SECURITE
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 18.
.WARNINGS.
..HURRICANE WARNING
.HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 14.3N 102.1W 971 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 16
MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90
NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N99W TO
17N102W TO 15N104W TO 12N104W TO 12N100W TO 14N99W TO 16N99W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
16N99W TO 18N104W TO 15N107W TO 13N107W TO 10N105W TO 09N100W TO
16N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 15.9N 102.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 150
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N100W TO 18N104W TO 16N105W TO 14N105W TO
13N102W TO 14N100W TO 16N100W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N98W TO 20N106W TO 18N109W TO
14N110W TO 08N102W TO 10N99W TO 16N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 18.4N 104.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N99W
TO 21N105W TO 22N113W TO 17N115W TO 11N112W TO 09N102W TO 17N99W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
18N102W TO 20N105W TO 18N107W TO 16N107W TO 15N105W TO 16N102W TO
18N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
.TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 19.5N 108.5W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT
16 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30
NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19.5N107.5W
TO 20N108W TO 19.5N108.5W TO 19N108.5W TO 19N108W TO 19.5N107.5W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
19N108W TO 20N108W TO 19N109W TO 18N109W TO 18N108W TO 19N108W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIMON NEAR 21.2N 110.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
22N110W TO 23N111W TO 22N112W TO 21N112W TO 21N110W TO 21N109W TO
22N110W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SIMON NEAR 22.1N
112.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SIMON NEAR 23.2N
114.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
..GALE WARNING
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N95W TO
15N94W TO 15N93W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 45
KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO
14N96W TO 12N96W TO 13N94W TO 16N94W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 14N98W
TO 08N99W TO 08N97W TO 12N93W TO 15N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 M IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 30N113W TO 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 30N114W TO 27N112W TO
28N112W TO 30N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...NW TO N
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 10N115W TO 17N118W TO 26N140W TO 00N140W TO 03.4S94W TO
07N99W TO 10N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 09N96W TO 23N140W TO 00N135W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S88W TO 09N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N114W TO 19N138W TO 00N131W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S84W TO 00N84W TO 14N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N137W TO 30N140W TO 26N140W TO
28N138W TO 30N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N129W TO 30N140W TO 21N140W TO
30N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC FRI OCT 16...
HURRICANE TRUDY
NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 11N TO
17N BETWEEN 98W AND 104W.
TROPICAL STORM SIMON
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN
107W AND 110W.
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 10N97W...FROM 11N103W TO 05N118W. ITCZ
FROM 05N118W TO 02N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 02N TO 15N BETWEEN 87W AND 92W.
.FORECASTER DELGADO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
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