964  
FOPZ11 KNHC 172053  
PWSEP1  
 
HURRICANE TRUDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212026  
2100 UTC SAT OCT 17 2026  
 
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TRUDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)  
 
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)  
 
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 38(38) 28(66) 2(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69)  
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 1( 1) 16(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)  
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
SAN BLAS 34 X 17(17) 7(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)  
 
P VALLARTA 34 2 44(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)  
 
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 93 2(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)  
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)  
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)  
 
MANZANILLO 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)  
MANZANILLO 50 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
 
FORECASTER BEVEN  
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