321
WTPZ31 KNHC 190243
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212026
800 PM MST SUN OCT 18 2026
..TRUDY STARTING TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY
SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...19.7N 107.6W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO, AS WELL AS BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TRUDY.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TRUDY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 107.6 WEST. TRUDY IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST OR WEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF TRUDY WILL MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE
COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, THEN MOVE SOUTH
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH (130 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY, AND TRUDY COULD DEGENERATE TO A POST-TROPICAL LOW BY
TUESDAY NIGHT.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES (35 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES
(150 KM).
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB (29.06 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TRUDY CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ41 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP1.SHTML?KEY_MESSAGES.
RAINFALL: THROUGH TONIGHT, TRUDY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE UP TO AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ALONG AND NEAR THE SOUTHWEST
MEXICAN COAST IN JALISCO.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TRUDY,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP1.SHTML?RAINQPF.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY TRUDY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST
OF SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO DURING THE NEXT TWO TO
THREE DAYS. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 AM MST.
FORECASTER KATZ/PAPIN
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