130
WTPZ22 KNHC 220256
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026
0300 UTC THU OCT 22 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 100.7W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 100.7W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 100.5W
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 9.8N 101.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 10.4N 102.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 10.9N 102.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 11.5N 103.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 12.3N 103.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 13.5N 104.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 80SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 15.4N 105.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 80SW 130NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 16.7N 105.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 80SW 130NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.6N 100.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
FORECASTER PIERCE/GIBBS
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