988
WTPZ32 KNHC 220257
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026
900 PM CST WED OCT 21 2026
..VANCE STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY
..FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY
SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...9.6N 100.7W
ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 690 MI...1115 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 100.7 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H) AND IS EXPECTED
TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD, THEN NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS, WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED, AND THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
BECOME A HURRICANE ON THURSDAY.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES (110 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB (29.53 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY VANCE ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THIS
WEEKEND AND CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 300 AM CST.
FORECASTER PIERCE/GIBBS
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