562
FZPN03 KNHC 221504
HSFEP2
HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU OCT 22 2026
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
SECURITE
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 24.
.WARNINGS.
..HURRICANE WARNING
.TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 9.7N 101.0W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 22
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N100W TO 12N101W TO 11N103W TO 09N103W
TO 09N101W TO 08N100W TO 11N100W NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 11N97W TO 14N101W TO
11N106W TO 05N103W TO 06N97W TO 11N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 10.1N 101.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 10.7N 102.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N99W TO 15N102W TO 12N106W TO 10N106W TO
07N103W TO 08N100W TO 11N99W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS DESCRIBED
ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 11N97W TO 16N103W TO 13N109W TO
07N108W TO 04N103W TO 06N99W TO 11N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 12.3N 103.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
180 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N99W
TO 19N108W TO 14N113W TO 08N112W TO 04N103W TO 09N98W TO 16N99W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN
14N99W TO 16N101W TO 16N104W TO 12N107W TO 09N103W TO 11N100W TO
14N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
..GALE WARNING
.WITHIN 14N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N99W TO 12N98W TO 12N96W TO
14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
12 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE
EXCEPT WINDS TO GALE FORCE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N98W TO 14N98W TO
13N97W TO 13N95W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 14N97W TO
13N97W TO 13N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 30N120W TO 30N140W TO 17N140W TO 20N126W TO 30N120W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 19N126W TO 19N140W TO 13N140W TO
13N131W TO 14N122W TO 19N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU OCT 22...
T.S. VANCE
NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 05N TO 13N
BETWEEN 94W AND 104W.
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 10N91W. IT RESUMES NEAR 07N104W TO
04N113W. ITCZ FROM 04N113W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM
04N TO 08N BETWEEN 82W AND 87W...AND FROM 00N TO 07N BETWEEN
120W AND 140W.
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
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