676
FOPZ12 KNHC 230859
PWSEP2
HURRICANE VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026
0900 UTC FRI OCT 23 2026
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
10.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5)
15N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 28(41) 14(55) 3(58) 1(59)
15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) 1(20) 1(21)
15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 8(27)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6)
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 20(42) 10(52)
MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 6(19)
MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 7(28) 4(32)
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 4(16) 4(20)
10N 100W 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
15N 100W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
FORECASTER PIERCE/GIBBS
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