259  
WTPZ22 KNHC 231441  
TCMEP2  
 
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026  
1500 UTC FRI OCT 23 2026  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 102.1W AT 23/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 4 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.  
64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.  
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.  
34 KT.......130NE 180SE 50SW 120NW.  
4 M SEAS....200NE 180SE 90SW 150NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 102.1W AT 23/1500Z  
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 102.1W  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 11.3N 102.5W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 10SE 0SW 30NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 20SE 10SW 40NW.  
34 KT...140NE 190SE 50SW 120NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 12.3N 102.9W  
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.  
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 35NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.  
34 KT...160NE 190SE 70SW 120NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 13.3N 103.3W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 35NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...160NE 180SE 70SW 120NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.4N 103.6W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...150NE 170SE 70SW 120NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.3N 103.9W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...150NE 160SE 80SW 130NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.9N 104.2W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.  
34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 130NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 16.6N 104.4W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.  
34 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 90NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N 104.5W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.  
34 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 102.1W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z  
 
 
FORECASTER BEVEN  
 
 
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