266
WTPZ22 KNHC 232038
TCMEP2
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026
2100 UTC FRI OCT 23 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 102.3W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 180SE 80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 102.3W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 102.2W
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 11.9N 102.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 190SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 12.9N 103.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 190SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 13.9N 103.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.9N 103.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.7N 103.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.1N 104.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 16.8N 104.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 17.8N 104.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 102.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
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