544
WTPZ22 KNHC 240245
TCMEP2
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026
0300 UTC SAT OCT 24 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 102.6W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 180SE 80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 102.6W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 102.4W
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 12.8N 102.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 190SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 13.8N 103.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.8N 103.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.8N 103.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.3N 104.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.8N 104.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 17.6N 104.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 18.4N 104.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 102.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
FORECASTER PIERCE/GIBBS
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