511
WTPZ22 KNHC 240837
TCMEP2
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026
0900 UTC SAT OCT 24 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 102.8W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 102.8W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 102.7W
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 13.1N 103.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.3N 103.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.2N 103.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.9N 104.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 70SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.2N 104.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 65SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.6N 104.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 17.5N 104.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 18.5N 104.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 102.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
FORECASTER GIBBS
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