502  
WTPZ22 KNHC 242038  
TCMEP2  
 
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026  
2100 UTC SAT OCT 24 2026  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 103.3W AT 24/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.  
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 50SW 50NW.  
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.  
4 M SEAS....210NE 210SE 210SW 180NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 103.3W AT 24/2100Z  
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 103.2W  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.0N 103.6W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.9N 104.0W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.6N 104.4W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.0N 104.6W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.4N 104.8W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.0N 104.9W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 18.1N 105.2W  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 19.3N 105.6W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 103.3W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z  
 
 
FORECASTER BEVEN  
 
 
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