283
WTPZ22 KNHC 250244
TCMEP2
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026
0300 UTC SUN OCT 25 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 103.4W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 210SE 210SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 103.4W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 103.3W
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.2N 103.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.1N 104.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.6N 104.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.1N 104.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.5N 105.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.3N 105.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 18.4N 105.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 19.6N 106.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 103.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
FORECASTER KATZ/CANGIALOSI
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