842
WTPZ22 KNHC 250837
TCMEP2
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026
0900 UTC SUN OCT 25 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 103.4W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 70SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 210SE 210SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 103.4W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 103.3W
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.8N 103.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.4N 104.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.8N 104.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.3N 105.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.1N 105.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.9N 106.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 19.3N 106.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.7N 106.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 103.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
FORECASTER KELLY
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