079
WTPZ22 KNHC 251456
TCMEP2
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026
1500 UTC SUN OCT 25 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 103.8W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 135SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 103.8W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 103.6W
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.5N 104.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.0N 104.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.3N 105.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.1N 105.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.0N 106.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.0N 106.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 19.5N 107.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 21.4N 107.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 103.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
FORECASTER ADAMS
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