950
WTPZ22 KNHC 252034
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026
2100 UTC SUN OCT 25 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 104.2W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 70SE 60SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 104.2W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 104.0W
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.0N 104.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.4N 105.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.0N 106.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.9N 106.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.7N 107.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.0N 107.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 21.0N 107.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 23.3N 107.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 104.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
FORECASTER ADAMS
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