867  
FOPZ12 KNHC 252035  
PWSEP2  
 
TROPICAL STORM VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026  
2100 UTC SUN OCT 25 2026  
 
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)  
 
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)  
 
15N 105W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)  
15N 105W 50 70 6(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)  
15N 105W 64 12 4(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)  
 

 
FORECASTER ADAMS  
 
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