350  
WTPZ22 KNHC 260235  
TCMEP2  
 
TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026  
0300 UTC MON OCT 26 2026  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 104.7W AT 26/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.  
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.  
34 KT.......100NE 70SE 60SW 130NW.  
4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE 180SW 150NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 104.7W AT 26/0300Z  
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 104.5W  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.3N 105.3W  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.7N 106.0W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.5N 106.8W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.4N 107.3W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.5N 107.6W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N 107.7W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 22.0N 107.8W...POST-TROPICAL  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 24.0N 107.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 104.7W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z  
 

 
FORECASTER KATZ  
 
 
 
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