135
FXUS64 KOHX 292331
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
531 PM CST FRI NOV 29 2024
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST FRI NOV 29 2024
IT'S COLD! CURRENTS TEMPS ACROSS THE MID-STATE RANGE FROM 28 TO 37
DEGREES WITH A BRISK NORTHWEST BREEZE NEAR 10 MPH. THE LOW STRATUS
CLOUDS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO CLEAR THE AREA, BUT WE'RE FINALLY SEEING
THE SUNSHINE ACROSS ROUGHLY THE WESTERN HALF OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
FOR OUR FRIENDS ALONG THE PLATEAU, CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO BREAK UP
AND MOVE OUT AS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. EVEN THOUGH THE SUN IS
OUT, IT'S NOT GOING TO WARM UP MUCH MORE TODAY WITH HIGHS BARELY
GETTING INTO THE 40S. WE CAN DEFINITIVELY SAY THAT NASHVILLE
STILL DID NOT REACH FREEZING THIS MORNING (0.6C/33F). OH SO CLOSE,
BUT NOT QUITE. IT WILL HAPPEN TONIGHT. A DEEP FREEZE IS IN STORE
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS ALONG THE PLATEAU AND
LOW TO MID 20S ELSEWHERE.
WE'LL SEE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVERAGE SATURDAY AHEAD OF AN UPPER-
LEVEL SYSTEM THAT WILL BE PUSHING ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY.
OVERALL, SATURDAY LOOKS COLD LOOKS COLD AND DRY. SNOW CHANCES ARE
STILL VERY SLIM ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE UPPER CUMBERLAND LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE THE NBM ACTUALLY KEEPING ANY PRECIP CHANCES
JUST NORTH OF THE AREA. THE HREF IS IN RANGE NOW AND IT'S ONLY
YIELDING A 30% CHANCE OF 0.1" WHICH SEEMS AGGRESSIVE AT THIS TIME
GIVEN HOW DRY THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE. THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO
WILL BE A FEW FLURRIES LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST FRI NOV 29 2024
OUR EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS MORE OR LESS THE SAME AS TODAY: COLD
AND DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW-AVERAGE THROUGH NEXT
WEEK. OUR UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL STAY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST,
CONTINUOUSLY STREAMING IN MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONTS. OUR NEXT CHANCE
FOR RAIN APPEARS TO BE THURSDAY WHEN A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH, BUT CHANCES ARE CURRENTLY LOW, BETWEEN 20-30%
AREAWIDE. THERE WILL BE A LARGE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR TO OVERCOME, SO
QPF AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE MINUSCULE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 524 PM CST FRI NOV 29 2024
VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS. NW WINDS SHIFT TO THE SW
AFTER 12Z. HIGH CLOUDS MOVE IN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON SATURDAY.
VERY LOW PROBABILITY (LESS THAN 10% CHANCE) FOR SOME SNOW FLURRIES
FOR CKV AFTER 00Z SATURDAY SO I DIDN'T INCLUDE IT IN THE TAF.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 26 46 32 46 / 0 10 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 24 43 29 42 / 0 10 10 0
CROSSVILLE 17 41 25 42 / 0 10 0 0
COLUMBIA 22 48 29 47 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 20 41 28 43 / 0 10 0 0
JAMESTOWN 19 40 26 41 / 0 10 0 10
LAWRENCEBURG 20 47 28 48 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 21 46 30 47 / 0 10 0 0
WAVERLY 25 45 30 44 / 0 10 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...BAGGETT
LONG TERM....BAGGETT
AVIATION.....CRAVENS
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