703
FXUS64 KOHX 300543
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1143 PM CST FRI NOV 29 2024
..NEW AVIATION
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 909 PM CST FRI NOV 29 2024
COLD AIR HAS BUILT INTO MIDDLE TN AND WE ARE IN FOR A COLD NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA ARE RUNNING 8-15 DEGREES
COOLER THAN YESTERDAY THIS TIME. LOWS TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE
20S WITH SOME TEENS TO THE EAST OF NASHVILLE. BNA MISSED THE 32
MARK THIS MORNING BY ONE DEGREE KEEPING THE STREAK OF LATEST
FREEZE ON RECORD GOING. THAT RECORD WILL BE COMING TO AN END
EITHER TODAY, THERE IS AROUND A 70% CHANCE THE TEMP AT MIDNIGHT
WILL BE BELOW 32. IF IT'S NOT REACHED BY MIDNIGHT IT WILL HAPPEN
AFTER WITH A FORECASTED LOW OF 26. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT
OVERNIGHT AND SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR. CLOUDS WILL START TO
BUILD IN AROUND DAYBREAK AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SHORT WAVE FROM
THE NORTHWEST. THIS SHORT WAVE WILL BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO OUR
NORTH OVER KY TOMORROW. WE COULD MAYBE SEE A FEW FLURRIES OVER THE
PLATEAU IN THE EVENING, NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST FRI NOV 29 2024
IT'S COLD! CURRENTS TEMPS ACROSS THE MID-STATE RANGE FROM 28 TO 37
DEGREES WITH A BRISK NORTHWEST BREEZE NEAR 10 MPH. THE LOW STRATUS
CLOUDS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO CLEAR THE AREA, BUT WE'RE FINALLY SEEING
THE SUNSHINE ACROSS ROUGHLY THE WESTERN HALF OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
FOR OUR FRIENDS ALONG THE PLATEAU, CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO BREAK UP
AND MOVE OUT AS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. EVEN THOUGH THE SUN IS
OUT, IT'S NOT GOING TO WARM UP MUCH MORE TODAY WITH HIGHS BARELY
GETTING INTO THE 40S. WE CAN DEFINITIVELY SAY THAT NASHVILLE
STILL DID NOT REACH FREEZING THIS MORNING (0.6C/33F). OH SO CLOSE,
BUT NOT QUITE. IT WILL HAPPEN TONIGHT. A DEEP FREEZE IS IN STORE
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS ALONG THE PLATEAU AND
LOW TO MID 20S ELSEWHERE.
WE'LL SEE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVERAGE SATURDAY AHEAD OF AN UPPER-
LEVEL SYSTEM THAT WILL BE PUSHING ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY.
OVERALL, SATURDAY LOOKS COLD LOOKS COLD AND DRY. SNOW CHANCES ARE
STILL VERY SLIM ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE UPPER CUMBERLAND LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE THE NBM ACTUALLY KEEPING ANY PRECIP CHANCES
JUST NORTH OF THE AREA. THE HREF IS IN RANGE NOW AND IT'S ONLY
YIELDING A 30% CHANCE OF 0.1" WHICH SEEMS AGGRESSIVE AT THIS TIME
GIVEN HOW DRY THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE. THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO
WILL BE A FEW FLURRIES LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST FRI NOV 29 2024
OUR EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS MORE OR LESS THE SAME AS TODAY: COLD
AND DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW-AVERAGE THROUGH NEXT
WEEK. OUR UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL STAY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST,
CONTINUOUSLY STREAMING IN MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONTS. OUR NEXT CHANCE
FOR RAIN APPEARS TO BE THURSDAY WHEN A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH, BUT CHANCES ARE CURRENTLY LOW, BETWEEN 20-30%
AREAWIDE. THERE WILL BE A LARGE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR TO OVERCOME, SO
QPF AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE MINUSCULE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1140 PM CST FRI NOV 29 2024
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HRS. LIGHT NW
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SW AFTER 12Z. MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
WILL CREATE VFR CIGS LATE IN THE PERIOD WITH A STRAY SPRINKLE OR
SNOW FLURRY POSSIBLE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 26 46 33 45 / 0 10 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 24 43 30 41 / 0 10 10 0
CROSSVILLE 17 40 25 42 / 0 10 10 0
COLUMBIA 21 48 29 47 / 0 10 0 0
COOKEVILLE 20 41 29 42 / 0 10 10 0
JAMESTOWN 19 39 27 41 / 0 10 10 0
LAWRENCEBURG 20 47 29 47 / 0 10 0 0
MURFREESBORO 21 46 29 46 / 0 10 0 0
WAVERLY 25 45 30 43 / 0 10 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE.......MUELLER
SHORT TERM...BAGGETT
LONG TERM....BAGGETT
AVIATION.....13
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