748
FXUS64 KOHX 250723
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
123 AM CST SAT JAN 25 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 114 AM CST SAT JAN 25 2025
- WARMING TREND, RETURNING TO NEAR NORMAL THIS WEEKEND AND ABOVE
NORMAL NEXT WEEK.
- LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT TOWARDS THE
TN/AL BOARDER.
- THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN LATE NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 114 AM CST SAT JAN 25 2025
A SURFACE HIGH HAS SET UP EAST OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE, SO WE'RE
ALREADY PICKING UP SOME LIGHT RETURN FLOW THAT WILL HELP KICK OFF
A DAYS-LONG WARMING TREND. TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING ARE ALREADY
DOWN IN THE TEENS IN SOME AREAS, BUT AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE CLOSE
TO 30 DEGREES WARMER THAN OUR MORNING LOWS. THERE ARE LOW RAIN
CHANCES TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT MAINLY NEAR THE TN/AL BORDER
AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND BRINGS
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE TO THE MID STATE.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 114 AM CST SAT JAN 25 2025
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE WARMING NEXT WEEK, AND THERE WILL EVEN
BE A FEW DAYS WHEN WE FIND OURSELVES ENJOYING ABOVE-NORMAL WARMTH.
THE NEXT ACTIVE WEATHER SYSTEM LOOKS TO BEING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE NEXT WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND, BUT INDIVIDUAL MODEL
SOLUTIONS ARE STILL FAR APART, SO IT'S DIFFICULT TO NAIL DOWN
SPECIFIC TIMING THIS EARLY. BOTH THE 6-10 DAY AND 8-14 DAY
OUTLOOKS FAVOR ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE-NORMAL
PRECIPITATION ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1027 PM CST FRI JAN 24 2025
VFR CATS EXPECTED FOR ENTIRE PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE
REGION. LIGHT TO CALM WINDS TONIGHT BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY LATE
SATURDAY MORNING WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 KTS THROUGH
22-23Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 51 32 48 28 / 0 0 10 10
CLARKSVILLE 50 31 45 25 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 44 28 44 26 / 0 0 10 10
COLUMBIA 50 31 47 28 / 0 0 10 20
COOKEVILLE 46 29 45 27 / 0 0 0 10
JAMESTOWN 44 28 43 25 / 0 0 0 10
LAWRENCEBURG 49 30 46 29 / 0 0 10 20
MURFREESBORO 50 30 48 27 / 0 0 10 10
WAVERLY 49 31 45 27 / 0 0 10 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....UNGER
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