861  
FXUS64 KOHX 252324  
AFDOHX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN  
524 PM CST SAT JAN 25 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
UPDATED AT 521 PM CST SAT JAN 25 2025  
 
- WARMER TEMPERATURES IN THE DAYS AHEAD.  
 
- LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT SOUTH OF I-40.  
 
- THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN LATE NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1201 PM CST SAT JAN 25 2025  
 
A SURFACE HIGH TO OUR SOUTHEAST IS ALLOWING FOR PLENTY OF SUNSHINE  
TODAY AND BREEZY SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE  
INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S ACROSS THE AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON.  
THIS MORNING WAS OUR LAST DIP INTO THE TEENS FOR THE FORESEEABLE  
FUTURE! TONIGHT MIGHT SEE COMPARATIVELY WARM, WITH LOWS ONLY IN  
THE LOW 30S. SOUTHERLY FLOW REMAINS STEADY TOMORROW AHEAD OF AN  
APPROACHING WAVE. EXPECT HIGHS TO BE JUST A COUPLE OF DEGREES  
COOLER THAN TODAY. LIGHT SHOWERS MAY START TO MOVE INTO OUR  
SOUTHERN COUNTIES LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON, BUT THE BEST CHANCE FOR  
LIGHT RAIN WILL BE AFTER 6PM.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1201 PM CST SAT JAN 25 2025  
 
A BROAD AREA OF SHOWERS DRIVEN EAST BY AN UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL  
REMAIN MOSTLY SOUTH OF US SUNDAY EVENING, HOWEVER AREAS SOUTH OF  
I-40 HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING LIGHT RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE  
NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SHOWERS EXPAND INTO OUR AREA. RAINFALL  
AMOUNTS MAY BE JUST ENOUGH TO MEASURE. AS TEMPERATURES FALL AT THE  
SURFACE AND ALOFT ON SUNDAY NIGHT A FEW FLURRIES MAY MIX IN WITH  
THE RAIN ON THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF ANY REMAINING PRECIP. NO  
IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.  
 
ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SINK TO OUR SOUTH AND KEEP  
MONDAY AND TUESDAY DRY WITH GRADUALLY WARMING TEMPERATURES. BY  
WEDNESDAY, WHEN OUR NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ENTERS THE FORECAST WE  
COULD SEE TEMPERATURES PUSHING INTO THE UPPER 50S.  
 
THE LAST HALF OF THE WEEK IS PAINTED WITH LOW CHANCE POPS, AS  
MODELS HONE IN ON THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. MORE THAN LIKELY  
WE WON'T SEE RAIN STRETCH ACROSS MULTIPLE DAYS. IN FACT THE BEST  
CHANCE FOR RAIN AFTER WEDNESDAY LOOKS TO BE FRIDAY NIGHT. IT'S  
STILL SEVERAL DAYS OUT, BUT THE LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH NEXT  
WEEKEND'S SYSTEM LOOKS MORE ROBUST THAN WHAT WE'VE SEEN LATELY AND  
COULD HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SOME THUNDER, BUT WE'LL SEE  
HOW THINGS CHANGE IN THE COMING DAYS.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(00Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 521 PM CST SAT JAN 25 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT WITH HIGH CLOUDS. CIGS WILL START TO LOWER  
SUNDAY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON WITH MVFR ARRIVING 17-20Z AT  
ALL TERMINALS. CATS WILL WORSEN TO AT LEAST IFR WITH THE 06Z TAF  
ISSUANCE.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
NASHVILLE 33 48 31 49 / 0 20 20 0  
CLARKSVILLE 32 45 26 47 / 0 10 10 0  
CROSSVILLE 28 45 29 44 / 0 10 20 0  
COLUMBIA 31 48 31 50 / 0 20 20 0  
COOKEVILLE 30 45 30 45 / 0 20 20 0  
JAMESTOWN 29 44 27 43 / 0 10 10 0  
LAWRENCEBURG 30 48 32 49 / 0 20 30 0  
MURFREESBORO 30 48 31 49 / 0 20 20 0  
WAVERLY 32 46 29 48 / 0 10 10 0  
 

 
   
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...WHITEHEAD  
LONG TERM....WHITEHEAD  
AVIATION.....UNGER  
 
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