969
FXUS64 KOHX 281135
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
535 AM CST TUE JAN 28 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 535 AM CST TUE JAN 28 2025
- EXPECT SUNNY AND WARMER WEATHER TODAY AND WEDNESDAY.
- A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH MIDDLE TENNESSEE ON
THURSDAY, WITH HIGH RAIN CHANCES (80-90%) THURSDAY NIGHT. RAIN
WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY WITH A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED IN THE 1 TO 2" RANGE FOR THIS
EVENT.
- FOLLOWING A BRIEF COOL-DOWN, ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL
SETTLE BACK IN ON SUNDAY AND WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1215 AM CST TUE JAN 28 2025
HIGH PRESSURE HAS SETTLED OVER MIDDLE TENNESSEE. THE CURRENT AIR
MASS IS QUITE DRY SO WE CAN LOOK FORWARD TO SUNNY SKIES TODAY AND
TOMORROW. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM CONSIDERABLY AS A RESULT. FOR
MOST OF THE MID STATE, THIS MORNING IS THE LAST TIME WE WILL
EXPERIENCE FREEZING TEMPERATURES UNTIL SOMETIME NEXT WEEK.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1215 AM CST TUE JAN 28 2025
THE NEXT ACTIVE WEATHER SYSTEM WILL COME OUR WAY LATER THIS WEEK.
A WARM FRONT IS POISED TO PASS THROUGH MIDDLE TENNESSEE ON
THURSDAY, WITH HIGH RAIN CHANCES CONTINUING THURSDAY NIGHT AND
INTO FRIDAY. THIS IS WHEN WE WILL EXPERIENCE THE HEAVIEST RAINALL.
SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE DAY FRIDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A
COLD FRONT. EXPECTED RAINFALL TOTALS RANGE FROM 1 TO 2" ACROSS THE
REGION, WHICH WOULD BE THE MOST SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL WE'VE SEEN IN
QUITE SOME TIME. FORTUNATELY, WE EXPECT TO FULLY CLEAR OUT BY
DAYBREAK ON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES TO START THE WEEKEND WILL COOL
OFF BY A FEW DEGREES, BUT SUNDAY WILL BE ALMOST SPRING-LIKE AFTER
A QUICK RECOVERY. THERE ARE NO MORE APPRECIABLE RAIN CHANCES AT
LEAST THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY NIGHT, AND NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. BOTH THE 6-10 DAY AND 8-14
DAY OUTLOOKS FAVOR ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NORMAL TO ABOVE-
NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THIS IS QUITE THE CONTRAST FROM MOST OF
JANUARY, WHICH HAS BEEN DRIER AND MUCH COLDER THAN NORMAL.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 535 AM CST TUE JAN 28 2025
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LLWS IS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU THIS MORNING THROUGH 14Z BUT GENERALLY
LIGHT AROUND 20 KT. LIGHT SW WINDS THIS MORNING INCREASE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND GUST BETWEEN 15-20 KTS INTO THE EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 56 37 60 36 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 55 35 57 33 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 49 33 52 31 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 56 36 60 36 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 50 34 54 33 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 48 34 52 30 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 56 35 59 36 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 56 35 59 33 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 55 35 57 36 / 0 0 0 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....CRAVENS
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