573  
FXUS64 KOHX 281711  
AFDOHX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN  
1111 AM CST TUE JAN 28 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
UPDATED AT 1109 AM CST TUE JAN 28 2025  
 
- EXPECT SUNNY AND WARMER WEATHER TODAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
 
- A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH MIDDLE TENNESSEE ON  
THURSDAY, WITH HIGH RAIN CHANCES (80-90%) THURSDAY NIGHT. RAIN  
WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY WITH A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.  
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED IN THE 1 TO 2" RANGE FOR THIS  
EVENT.  
 
- FOLLOWING A BRIEF COOL-DOWN, ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL  
SETTLE BACK IN ON SUNDAY AND WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
 
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1215 AM CST TUE JAN 28 2025  
 
HIGH PRESSURE HAS SETTLED OVER MIDDLE TENNESSEE. THE CURRENT AIR  
MASS IS QUITE DRY SO WE CAN LOOK FORWARD TO SUNNY SKIES TODAY AND  
TOMORROW. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM CONSIDERABLY AS A RESULT. FOR  
MOST OF THE MID STATE, THIS MORNING IS THE LAST TIME WE WILL  
EXPERIENCE FREEZING TEMPERATURES UNTIL SOMETIME NEXT WEEK.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM  
 
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1215 AM CST TUE JAN 28 2025  
 
THE NEXT ACTIVE WEATHER SYSTEM WILL COME OUR WAY LATER THIS WEEK.  
A WARM FRONT IS POISED TO PASS THROUGH MIDDLE TENNESSEE ON  
THURSDAY, WITH HIGH RAIN CHANCES CONTINUING THURSDAY NIGHT AND  
INTO FRIDAY. THIS IS WHEN WE WILL EXPERIENCE THE HEAVIEST RAINALL.  
SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE DAY FRIDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A  
COLD FRONT. EXPECTED RAINFALL TOTALS RANGE FROM 1 TO 2" ACROSS THE  
REGION, WHICH WOULD BE THE MOST SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL WE'VE SEEN IN  
QUITE SOME TIME. FORTUNATELY, WE EXPECT TO FULLY CLEAR OUT BY  
DAYBREAK ON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES TO START THE WEEKEND WILL COOL  
OFF BY A FEW DEGREES, BUT SUNDAY WILL BE ALMOST SPRING-LIKE AFTER  
A QUICK RECOVERY. THERE ARE NO MORE APPRECIABLE RAIN CHANCES AT  
LEAST THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY NIGHT, AND NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS  
EXPECTED FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. BOTH THE 6-10 DAY AND 8-14  
DAY OUTLOOKS FAVOR ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NORMAL TO ABOVE-  
NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THIS IS QUITE THE CONTRAST FROM MOST OF  
JANUARY, WHICH HAS BEEN DRIER AND MUCH COLDER THAN NORMAL.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1109 AM CST TUE JAN 28 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE TAF PERIOD WITH MAINLY CLEAR  
SKIES. SW WINDS WILL BE 5-10 KTS THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS AROUND  
15 KTS. THE GUSTS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING. 5-10 KT WINDS WILL  
VEER TO THE WEST DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
NASHVILLE 56 38 60 35 / 0 0 0 30  
CLARKSVILLE 55 35 57 33 / 0 0 0 30  
CROSSVILLE 49 34 53 31 / 0 0 0 10  
COLUMBIA 56 37 59 35 / 0 0 0 40  
COOKEVILLE 50 34 54 33 / 0 0 0 10  
JAMESTOWN 48 35 52 30 / 0 0 0 10  
LAWRENCEBURG 56 35 59 35 / 0 0 0 30  
MURFREESBORO 56 35 58 33 / 0 0 0 30  
WAVERLY 55 36 57 36 / 0 0 0 50  
 
 
   
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...ROSE  
LONG TERM....ROSE  
AVIATION.....REAGAN  
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