179
FXUS64 KOHX 151125
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
625 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 623 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2025
- DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO MIDDLE TN TOMORROW WITH GUSTY AFTERNOON
WINDS. THIS WILL INCREASE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. SEE FIRE
WEATHER SECTION BELOW.
- NEXT CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD RAINS MAY NOT BE UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT OR
MONDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CDT MON APR 14 2025
SHOWERS AND A COUPLE OF DECENT THUNDERSTORMS POPPED UP ALONG A FRONT
MOVING THROUGH THE MID-STATE THIS EVENING. A COUPLE OF 1/2 INCH HAIL
REPORTS WERE RECEIVED, BUT THAT'S ALL. SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EASTWARD THROUGH THE REST OF THE
NIGHT, EXITING MIDDLE TN BEFORE DAYBREAK. TOMORROW SHOULD BE A HALF-
WAY ENJOYABLE DAY AS THE SUN SHOULD RETURN AND WE'LL BE ABOUT 20
DEGREES COOLER THAN WE WERE TODAY -- BUT IT'LL BE BREEZY. GUSTS OF
25-30 MPH WILL BE COMMON THROUGH SUNSET TUESDAY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHTENED ACROSS THE REGION.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CDT MON APR 14 2025
WEDNESDAY WILL CONSIST OF MORE SUN AND WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN TUESDAY, AND BY THURSDAY, AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS
NORTHWARD INTO GULF STATES AND TN VALLEY, LOOK FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS
TO JUMP ABOVE NORMAL. THIS RIDGE SHOULD ALSO ACT TO KEEP MOST, IF
NOT ALL RAIN CHANCES NORTH OF MIDDLE TN UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT OR
MONDAY. IT WILL BE CLOSE, HOWEVER. THE WEEKEND FORECAST WILL
GREATLY REVOLVE AROUND HOW MUCH THIS RIDGE AMPLIFIES NORTHWARD. IF
IT WEAKENS AT ALL OR GETS COMPRESSED TO THE SOUTH, AREAS OF
MIDDLE TN ALONG THE KY/TN STATE LINE COULD BE DEALING WITH RAIN
FOR MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. IN ANY EVENT, LOOK FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS IN
THE 80S AGAIN BY FRIDAY, LIKELY LASTING INTO THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 623 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE TAF PERIOD. SKIES WILL CLEAR
THIS MORNING AND WNW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS
TO 25 KTS AFTER 14Z. WINDS WILL DECREASE BELOW 5 KTS AFTER 16/00Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 66 44 68 48 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 63 41 68 47 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 58 37 62 40 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 65 41 69 47 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 60 38 63 42 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 58 37 62 40 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 64 41 68 47 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 65 40 69 45 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 63 41 68 49 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...UNGER
LONG TERM....UNGER
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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