833
FXUS64 KOHX 061548
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1048 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1013 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- VERY LOW CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND AT THIS
TIME.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1013 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2025
TODAY IS THE DAY, WHAT MOST OF US HAVE BEEN WAITING FOR, THE
RETURN OF SUNNY AND WARM WEATHER! UNFORTUNATELY, THE SUNNY AND
DRY WEATHER WILL LEAVE US BY TOMORROW, AT LEAST TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN NEAR NORMAL.
A MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER MIDDLE TN, HENCE THE CLEAR AND DRY
WEATHER TODAY. A MID-LEVEL LOW IS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TODAY AND WILL WEAKEN INTO A SHORTWAVE, PUSHING THROUGH THE
TN VALLEY WEDNESDAY. AS IT DOES SO, THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN, BUT
HOLD IT'S GROUND. THIS WILL CAUSE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION TO
REMAIN TO OUR SW ON WEDNESDAY, BUT WE WILL STILL SEE INCREASED
CLOUD COVER AND SOME CHANCES FOR RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
WITH LITTLE TO NO INSTABILITY, MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL BE
LIMITED TO LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WEDNESDAY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1013 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2025
OUR RIDGING ALOFT WILL WEAKEN AND SLIDE EAST AS A MID-LEVEL
TROUGH, EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHEAST DOWN TO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, DEEPENS AND STALLS OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL
KEEP PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS MIDDLE TN THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES REMAIN LOW THROUGHOUT THIS PERIOD, WITH
MINIMAL INSTABILITY AND WEAK MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW. THAT SAID,
WE STILL COULD SEE SOME GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
AFTERNOONS ALONG WITH MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY. AT THIS
TIME, THURSDAY AFTERNOON LOOKS TO CARRY THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, WITH LOWERS CHANCES FRIDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.
THERE WILL BE INCREASED CLOUD COVER THROUGH THIS PERIOD, SO
TEMPERATURES LOOK TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL, IN THE LOW TO
MID 70S. EARLY NEXT WEEK, TEMPERATURES CLIMB BACK TO AROUND
NORMAL IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 619 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2025
AREAS OF PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BURN OFF AFTER 13Z, LEADING TO VFR
CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS TAF CYCLE. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT AND VARIABLE TODAY WITH INCREASING HIGH CLOUD COVERAGE
AFTER 00Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 57 74 60 78 / 20 60 30 50
CLARKSVILLE 54 73 59 77 / 10 50 30 40
CROSSVILLE 49 67 54 74 / 10 50 40 60
COLUMBIA 56 70 60 77 / 30 70 30 50
COOKEVILLE 52 69 57 74 / 10 50 30 60
JAMESTOWN 48 70 54 74 / 10 30 30 60
LAWRENCEBURG 56 68 60 77 / 40 70 30 50
MURFREESBORO 55 70 59 78 / 20 60 30 50
WAVERLY 56 70 59 76 / 30 60 30 50
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CRAVENS
LONG TERM....CRAVENS
AVIATION.....BAGGETT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page