280
FXUS64 KOHX 061750
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1250 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1250 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- VERY LOW CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND AT THIS
TIME.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1013 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2025
TODAY IS THE DAY, WHAT MOST OF US HAVE BEEN WAITING FOR, THE
RETURN OF SUNNY AND WARM WEATHER! UNFORTUNATELY, THE SUNNY AND
DRY WEATHER WILL LEAVE US BY TOMORROW, AT LEAST TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN NEAR NORMAL.
A MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER MIDDLE TN, HENCE THE CLEAR AND DRY
WEATHER TODAY. A MID-LEVEL LOW IS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TODAY AND WILL WEAKEN INTO A SHORTWAVE, PUSHING THROUGH THE
TN VALLEY WEDNESDAY. AS IT DOES SO, THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN, BUT
HOLD IT'S GROUND. THIS WILL CAUSE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION TO
REMAIN TO OUR SW ON WEDNESDAY, BUT WE WILL STILL SEE INCREASED
CLOUD COVER AND SOME CHANCES FOR RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
WITH LITTLE TO NO INSTABILITY, MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL BE
LIMITED TO LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WEDNESDAY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1013 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2025
OUR RIDGING ALOFT WILL WEAKEN AND SLIDE EAST AS A MID-LEVEL
TROUGH, EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHEAST DOWN TO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, DEEPENS AND STALLS OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL
KEEP PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS MIDDLE TN THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES REMAIN LOW THROUGHOUT THIS PERIOD, WITH
MINIMAL INSTABILITY AND WEAK MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW. THAT SAID,
WE STILL COULD SEE SOME GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
AFTERNOONS ALONG WITH MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY. AT THIS
TIME, THURSDAY AFTERNOON LOOKS TO CARRY THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, WITH LOWERS CHANCES FRIDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.
THERE WILL BE INCREASED CLOUD COVER THROUGH THIS PERIOD, SO
TEMPERATURES LOOK TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL, IN THE LOW TO
MID 70S. EARLY NEXT WEEK, TEMPERATURES CLIMB BACK TO AROUND
NORMAL IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1250 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2025
CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO FILL IN FROM THE SOUTH TOWARDS THE END OF THE
TAF PERIOD. SHRA WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE CLOUDS, BUT
CONFIDENCE IS NOT THERE YET TO INCLUDE IN THE CURRENT SET OF TAFS.
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 56 71 61 77 / 20 70 20 60
CLARKSVILLE 54 71 58 76 / 10 60 20 40
CROSSVILLE 49 66 55 74 / 10 60 30 60
COLUMBIA 56 69 60 77 / 40 70 10 60
COOKEVILLE 52 69 56 75 / 10 50 30 60
JAMESTOWN 48 69 54 75 / 0 40 20 60
LAWRENCEBURG 56 69 60 76 / 40 70 10 50
MURFREESBORO 54 71 59 78 / 20 70 20 50
WAVERLY 56 70 59 76 / 30 70 20 50
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CRAVENS
LONG TERM....CRAVENS
AVIATION.....HOLLEY
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