149
FXUS64 KOHX 311622
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1122 AM CDT SAT MAY 31 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1120 AM CDT SAT MAY 31 2025
- PLEASANT WX FOR OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES THROUGH THIS EVENING.
SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH A FEW STORMS AREA-WIDE SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.
- HAZY SKIES THIS WEEKEND AS SMOKE FROM CANADIAN WILDFIRES
SPREADS OVERHEAD.
- MUCH WARMER NEXT WEEK. DRY MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THEN DAILY
RAIN CHANCES RETURN.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1120 AM CDT SAT MAY 31 2025
QUIET WX WAS IN PLACE THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
REST OF THE DAY. NORTH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WAS BRINGING SMOKE
FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILDFIRES DOWN ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
UNITED STATES. THE SMOKE WAS THICK ENOUGH TO HOLD BACK OUR TEMPS
SLIGHTLY FROM EXPECTED LEVELS TODAY. THE SMOKE WILL KEEP OUR SKIES
HAZY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND WITH RED SUNRISES AND
SUNSETS.
THE NNW FLOW ALOFT WILL ALSO BRING A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
AND WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY FOR SUNDAY WHICH WILL SET OFF SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. NO SEVERE WX IS EXPECTED FROM
THE MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SCATTERED ACTIVITY.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1120 AM CDT SAT MAY 31 2025
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DEVELOP FOR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH RAIN-FREE AND MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS. IT IS LIKELY
THAT BNA AND SOME OTHER AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE THE FIRST 90+ DEGREE
DAY OF THIS SPRING SEASON TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY. ON A SIDE NOTE,
THE CANADIAN SMOKE MAY GET PUSHED OUT, BUT AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES,
SKIES COULD BECOME HAZY AGAIN WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME IMPACTS
FROM A SAHARAN DUST PLUME CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE ATLANTIC.
BROAD FRONTAL ZONE SETTLING ALONG
THE NORTHERN EGDE OF THE RIDGE.
WHAT
LOOKS LIKE AN ACTIVE WEATHER PERIOD AS MULTIPLE WAVES OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS MAY PLAGUE US NEXT WEEKEND. IT'S TOO EARLY TO LOOK AT
FORECAST SOUNDINGS THAT FAR OUT AND LABEL THEM WITH ANY GREAT
CONFIDENCE, BUT SUFFICE IT TO SAY NEXT WEEKEND LOOKS TO BE ON THE
LATE WEEK, THE RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY BREAK DOWN AS A SLOW MOVING
FRONTAL ZONE DEVELOPS AND DISTURBANCES MOVE ALONG THE FRONT. THE
PATTERN DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A SEVERE WX MAKER AT THIS POINT. IT
DOES LOOK LIKE A PRODUCER OF DAILY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, WITH
COVERAGE PEAKING IN THE WARM AND HUMID AIR EACH AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. THIS WILL BE A PATTERN THAT WILL REQUIRE CAREFUL
MONITORING FOR OUTDOOR EVENTS WITH ON AND OFF THUNDERSTORM/LIGHTNING
DELAYS POSSIBLE SANDWICHED BETWEEN HOT, STICKY, RAIN-FREE PERIODS.
VISITORS TO THE MID STATE SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HEAT, HUMIDITY, SUN,
AND PERIODIC HEAVY DOWNPOURS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 616 AM CDT SAT MAY 31 2025
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WESTERLY WINDS INCREASE TO
10-15 KNOTS AFTER 15Z WITH GUSTS UP TO 23 KNOTS. WINDS WILL
BECOME LIGHT AGAIN AFTER 01Z. SCT 040-060 CLOUDS DEVELOP FOR THE
AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 83 64 84 62 / 0 0 50 20
CLARKSVILLE 83 61 83 60 / 0 0 40 20
CROSSVILLE 75 55 76 52 / 10 0 60 20
COLUMBIA 81 61 84 60 / 0 0 40 10
COOKEVILLE 77 56 78 55 / 10 0 50 30
JAMESTOWN 75 54 76 50 / 20 10 50 0
LAWRENCEBURG 81 61 82 60 / 0 0 40 0
MURFREESBORO 83 61 84 60 / 0 0 50 10
WAVERLY 81 60 83 60 / 0 0 40 20
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....MUELLER
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