151
FXUS64 KOHX 011610
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1110 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1110 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2025
- A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING,
MAINLY NORTHEAST HALF. STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS.
- FEELING LIKE SUMMER THIS WEEK AS TEMPERATURES WARM UP.
- DRY MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, THEN DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
STORMS THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2025
LATE THIS SUNDAY MORNING, SKIES WERE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SKIES WERE A LITTLE BLUER
AND LESS HAZY THAN YESTERDAY WITH SOME DISSIPATION OF THE SMOKE
FROM CANADIAN WILDFIRES.
A QUASI-STATIONARY SURFACE BOUNDARY WAS LURKING OVER SOUTHERN KY,
EVIDENT BY LOWER TEMPS AND MUCH LOWER DEW POINTS TO OUR NORTH.
THIS FRONT WILL SLIP SOUTHWARD AND "ACTIVATE" THIS AFTERNOON AS A
SHORTWAVE MOVES OVER THE REGION. CAMS SHOW ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS BUBBLING UP, MAINLY OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF
OUR COVERAGE AREA. A STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORM OR 2 WITH
GUSTY WINDS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE GENERALLY LOW-CVOERAGE
SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD DIE OFF QUICKLY WITH SUNSET. SOME
POCKETS OF LATE NIGHT FOG WILL FORM, PARTICULARLY FOR AREAS THAT
RECEIVE RAINFALL.
FRO MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL
WITH A NOTABLY STRONG RIDGE ALOFT. THIS WILL SUPPRESS RAIN CHANCES
AND MOST CLOUDS WHILE BRINGING MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES. SOME
AREAS WILL REACH THE FIRST 90+ DEGREE DAYS OF THIS SEASON.
HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE TOLERABLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2025
A FRONTAL ZONE WILL FORM NORTHWEST OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE BY MIDWEEK
THEN GRADUALLY SETTLE TOWARD OUR AREA AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
FLATTENS. A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE
BRINGING EPISODES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH DAY, ESPECIALLY
DURING THE HEAT AND INCREASING HUMIDITY OF THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. IN THIS SUMMER-LIKE PATTERN, A STORM OR 2 COULD BE
BRIEFLY SEVERE WITH DOWNBURST WINDS ANY GIVEN DAY, BUT AT THIS
TIME WE ARE NOT SEEING INDICATIONS OF AN ORGANIZED OR WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WX THREAT. THOSE ATTENDING OUTDOOR EVENTS WILL NEED TO BE
PREPARED FOR HEAT, HUMIDITY, AND SUN INTERRUPTED AT TIMES BY
LIGHTNING AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 610 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2025
OVERALL WE WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS INTO THE OVERNIGHT. THERE IS A
30-50% CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 18Z
AND 00Z. IF A THUNDERSTORM MOVES OVER ONE OF THE TERMINALS IT
WILL BRING IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY UP TO 7
KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 84 63 86 66 / 30 20 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 82 61 85 65 / 30 20 0 0
CROSSVILLE 77 55 80 57 / 40 30 0 0
COLUMBIA 83 61 85 64 / 20 10 0 0
COOKEVILLE 78 57 80 60 / 40 30 0 0
JAMESTOWN 77 53 80 56 / 50 30 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 82 61 85 63 / 10 10 0 0
MURFREESBORO 84 61 86 63 / 20 20 0 0
WAVERLY 82 61 85 64 / 20 10 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....MUELLER
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