749
FXUS64 KOHX 101116
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
616 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 613 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2025
- RAIN AND STORM CHANCES CONTINUE ON THURSDAY WITH ACTIVITY
FOCUSING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
- LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND GUSTY WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS THIS WEEK.
- EXPECT WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE, BUT
EXCESSIVE HEAT WON'T BE A FACTOR ANYTIME SOON.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1040 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2025
THE RADAR IS PRETTY QUIET THIS EVENING WITH SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS
NOTED IN NE MISSISSIPPI AND NW ALABAMA. THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL BE
DRY WITH AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT. THURSDAY WILL
FEATURE LOWER POPS FOR THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA WITH A TROUGH
AXIS ALONG I-65. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL FOCUS ALONG AND
EAST OF I-65 DURING THE AFTERNOON. PWAT VALUES WILL BE LOWER ON
THURSDAY RANGING FROM 1.5-1.7". SOME HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AGAIN, BUT THE FLOODING THREAT WILL BE LOW. A STRONG
STORM WITH GUSTY WINDS CAN'T BE RULED OUT BUT IT WILL BE ISOLATED
IN NATURE. THE STORM COVERAGE WILL DECREASE AFTER 00Z WITH THE
LOSS OF DIURNAL INFLUENCES. THE DIURNAL STORM CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE ON FRIDAY BUT THE COVERAGE WILL BE LOWER WITH NO APPARENT
UPPER LEVEL FEATURES. THE AIR MASS WILL BE PRETTY SIMILAR
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80 TO LOWER 90S AND DEW
POINTS IN THE 70S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1040 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2025
THE SCATTERED STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AND NEXT
WEEK WITH THE WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS
ARE EXPECTED EVERYDAY PEAKING IN THE MID AFTERNOON. PRIOR TO STORMS,
HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY APPROACH 100 DEGREES, SO IT WILL BE HOT BUT
NOT EXCESSIVELY HOT.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 613 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2025
DENSE FOG HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS MOST OF MIDDLE TN THIS MORNING,
RESULTING IN IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
THROUGH MID-MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN DEVELOP
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. DIRECT IMPACTS TO TERMINALS WILL
RESULT IN LOW CIGS AND VISIBILITIES DUE TO HEAVY RAIN, GUSTY
WINDS, AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. STORM COVERAGE WILL TAPER OFF AFTER
00Z, BUT ADDITIONAL FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT, ESPECIALLY
IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE RAIN TODAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 89 72 92 74 / 40 0 30 10
CLARKSVILLE 89 71 92 72 / 20 0 20 10
CROSSVILLE 82 65 86 66 / 60 10 30 10
COLUMBIA 88 70 90 71 / 40 10 40 10
COOKEVILLE 84 67 87 69 / 50 10 30 10
JAMESTOWN 83 66 86 67 / 60 10 30 10
LAWRENCEBURG 86 70 89 70 / 40 10 50 10
MURFREESBORO 88 70 92 71 / 40 10 30 10
WAVERLY 88 70 91 71 / 20 0 40 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR TNZ005>011-
023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095.
SHORT TERM...REAGAN
LONG TERM....REAGAN
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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