686
FXUS64 KOHX 030223
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
923 PM CDT SAT AUG 2 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 910 PM CDT SAT AUG 2 2025
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE END OF NEXT
WEEK.
- RAIN CHANCES WILL CREEP BACK INTO THE FORECAST LATER TONIGHT
AND SUNDAY, WITH LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES LASTING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, AFTER WHICH THE FORECAST WILL TURN DRIER.
- THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS VERY LOW FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT 8 DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 910 PM CDT SAT AUG 2 2025
AN INVERTED TROUGH IS DEEPENING OVER EAST TENNESSEE THIS EVENING,
AND THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO ROTATE WESTWARD OVERNIGHT AND
TOMORROW, THEREBY BRINGING INCREASED RAIN CHANCES TO MIDDLE
TENNESSEE. MEANWHILE, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 910 PM CDT SAT AUG 2 2025
RAIN CHANCES WILL STAY WITH US FOR SEVERAL DAYS AS AN UPPER
TROUGH APPROACHES MIDDLE TENNESSEE FROM THE WEST, WITH SHORTWAVE
PASSAGE TAKING PLACE PROBABLY ON WEDNESDAY. AFTER THIS, OUR RAIN
CHANCES LOOK TO DROP OFF ONCE AGAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
CLIMB BACK TO SEASONAL NORMALS BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. TOTAL QPF FOR THE NEXT 8 DAYS
RANGES FROM LESS THAN 1/2" ALONG THE TENNESSEE RIVER, TO 1 TO 2"
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND ADJACENT AREAS.
FORTUNATELY, THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS (AND HAZARDOUS WEATHER IN
GENERAL) WILL REMAIN VERY LOW FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 620 PM CDT SAT AUG 2 2025
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS AT ISSUANCE TIME, BUT A CLOUD DECK
LINGERS AND WILL LOWER AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR ALL TERMINALS EXCEPT
CKV. LOOK FOR MVFR TO SETTLE INTO ALL TERMINALS AROUND SUNRISE AND
STICK AROUND FOR THE DAY WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS LIKELY FOR
CSV/SRB AND VCTS FOR BNA AND MQY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT (LESS THAN
10 KTS) AND SOUTHEASTERLY TOMORROW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 70 83 68 85 / 20 60 30 30
CLARKSVILLE 64 83 67 84 / 0 30 30 30
CROSSVILLE 65 74 61 77 / 50 70 40 40
COLUMBIA 68 82 65 82 / 20 50 20 30
COOKEVILLE 67 77 64 80 / 50 70 40 40
JAMESTOWN 65 75 62 79 / 50 80 40 40
LAWRENCEBURG 67 81 64 81 / 30 60 20 30
MURFREESBORO 69 82 65 83 / 40 60 30 30
WAVERLY 64 83 65 82 / 0 20 20 30
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....UNGER
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